ES Tunis vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CAB
1 - 2
ESP
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 1
EOG
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CSS
0 - 0
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
STA
0 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
USM
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ASD
1 - 0
OLY
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
ASD
0 - 1
EGS
64%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
USM
0 - 2
ASD
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ASD
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
ASD
3 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |