Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
RSO
2 - 0
ESP
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
OSA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATM
2 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
RMA
4 - 3
ESP
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
35%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ATH
0 - 1
OSA
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
71%
15%
14%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ATH
5 - 1
CEL
86%
8%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |