Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
RSO
1 - 2
ESP
33%
21%
46%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ESP
0 - 1
VCF
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
RMA
1 - 1
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
CEL
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
HER
3 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 2
CAS
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 1
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATH
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |