Espanyol vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
POL
3 - 2
ESP
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BET
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
MLL
3 - 1
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
BET
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
RAC
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 1
ALM
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |