Español de Alquián vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 2
ALQ
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ATA
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ANT
2 - 0
ALQ
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALQ
8 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
VIL
28%
26%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |