Spain U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
BLR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 2
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
DNK
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
HRV
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
RUS
8 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RUS
7 - 3
GIN
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 3
RUS
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 1
RUS
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |