Spain U20s vs Australia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 4
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAU
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
URY
1 - 0
ESP
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
MEX
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
MEX
4 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
TUR
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
SLV
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
AUS
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 3
CHL
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |