UEFA EC U17 Group A Round 3

España U17 vs Croacia U17 analysis

España U17 Croacia U17
69 ELO 56
-6.1% Tilt -3.4%
2475º General ELO ranking 3819º
79º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
67.9%
España U17
19.7%
Draw
12.5%
Croacia U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
España U17
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
Croacia U17
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
España U17
-20%
+3%
Croacia U17

ELO progression

España U17
Croacia U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

España U17
España U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2017
ESP
España U17
3 - 1
Italia U17
ITA
65%
21%
14%
68 56 12 0
03 May. 2017
TUR
Turquía U17
2 - 3
España U17
ESP
16%
22%
62%
68 51 17 0
15 Mar. 2017
POR
Portugal U17
0 - 2
España U17
ESP
29%
25%
47%
68 62 6 0
12 Mar. 2017
ESP
España U17
0 - 1
Grecia U17
GRC
78%
15%
7%
68 49 19 0
10 Mar. 2017
ESP
España U17
3 - 1
Polonia U17
POL
75%
16%
9%
68 51 17 0

Matches

Croacia U17
Croacia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2017
CRO
Croacia U17
1 - 4
Turquía U17
TUR
63%
20%
17%
57 51 6 0
03 May. 2017
CRO
Croacia U17
0 - 1
Italia U17
ITA
56%
23%
22%
58 56 2 -1
21 Mar. 2016
CRO
Croacia U17
2 - 4
Portugal U17
POR
45%
23%
32%
59 59 0 -1
18 Mar. 2016
SWE
Suecia U17
2 - 1
Croacia U17
CRO
16%
21%
62%
60 46 14 -1
16 Mar. 2016
CRO
Croacia U17
0 - 2
Gales U17
WAL
81%
13%
6%
60 40 20 0