ES Mostaganem vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
USB
0 - 1
ESM
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ESM
3 - 1
ASM
49%
27%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MOH
1 - 0
ESM
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ESM
0 - 0
OLY
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
USM
2 - 1
ESM
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
BBA
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
PAR
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
ABM
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
USM
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
USB
0 - 1
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |