Jerba vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFA
2 - 0
ESJ
50%
27%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 1
ESJ
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ESJ
0 - 1
MEN
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GAB
0 - 1
ESJ
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESJ
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
GAB
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SFA
1 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
KAL
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 1
SPO
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESJ
46%
28%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |