1. Lig Playoffs Turkey Semi-finals
Erzurumspor vs Umraniyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzurumspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
4 - 1
ELA
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ADA
2 - 3
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 6
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
GFK
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Umraniyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 3
UMR
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UMR
0 - 1
RIZ
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
UMR
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UMR
1 - 1
ANK
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 2
UMR
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |