Erzurumspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzurumspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ERZ
6 - 2
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ANK
2 - 1
ERZ
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 1
ADA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EYU
0 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nazilli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
1 - 1
NAZ
52%
23%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAZ
1 - 1
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NAZ
1 - 0
BUC
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZON
1 - 0
NAZ
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |