Erzgebirge Aue II vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GER
3 - 2
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GER
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
1 - 1
MAG
12%
21%
67%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
0 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
1 - 0
EIL
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EIL
1 - 1
GER
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BDR
0 - 1
EIL
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |