Erlenbach vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FRO
0 - 2
ERL
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 0
ELT
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
5 - 1
BAY
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EIC
4 - 0
ERL
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 5
FEU
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 4
EIC
38%
26%
37%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FEU
5 - 0
WUR
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 2
SAN
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
WUR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 2
DJJ
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |