Erizana vs A D Vila Do Corpus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 6
ERI
24%
20%
56%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
ERI
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ERI
3 - 3
GUI
63%
19%
19%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 5
ERI
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERI
1 - 3
TYD
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
A D Vila Do Corpus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUI
41%
25%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 3
VIL
30%
21%
50%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
TYD
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |