Ergué-Gaberic vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
75.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 1
ERG
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LAT
5 - 0
ERG
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ERG
2 - 3
USF
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ERG
0 - 3
LOC
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STA
1 - 1
ERG
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAN
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SPG
0 - 2
VAN
12%
16%
73%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VAN
2 - 2
BLO
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
VAN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VAN
1 - 1
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |