Civil Sporting vs Dwangwa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EPA
3 - 0
KUN
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MPO
0 - 3
EPA
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2018 |
BUL
2 - 1
EPA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EPA
0 - 2
DWA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AZT
2 - 3
EPA
42%
28%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Dwangwa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DWA
1 - 0
CHU
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DWA
1 - 2
AZT
57%
21%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MSS
1 - 0
DWA
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DWA
1 - 1
MWF
23%
26%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
KUN
4 - 2
DWA
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |