Envigado vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SFE
0 - 0
ENV
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ENV
2 - 1
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ENV
2 - 0
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
ENV
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ENV
1 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ONC
0 - 0
BUC
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2005 |
ONC
2 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ONC
3 - 3
PER
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 1
ONC
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CAL
3 - 0
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |