Envigado vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 1
ENV
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ENV
4 - 1
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
ENV
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ENV
1 - 2
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
3 - 1
ENV
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
4 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 2
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
AGU
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
4 - 3
MIL
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |