Empoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 4
EMP
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
CES
2 - 3
EMP
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EMP
3 - 2
LEO
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
EMP
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
USF
0 - 3
EMP
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
CES
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |