Empoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
JUS
1 - 0
EMP
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 0
EMP
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 2
SPE
55%
24%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CRO
3 - 0
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
FRO
1 - 2
CRO
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
LIV
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |