Empoli vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
EMP
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
VIC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 2
EMP
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 1
EMP
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 1
ASG
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
JUS
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
REG
3 - 3
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |