Emmen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
RBC
2 - 1
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
ZWO
4 - 0
FCE
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
FCO
2 - 1
FCE
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
BVO
6 - 2
FCE
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 2
TWE
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
REN
2 - 1
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
4 - 0
TWE
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |