Copa Libertadores Grupo B. Jor. 5

CS Emelec vs Flamengo analysis

CS Emelec Flamengo
77 ELO 76
-3.6% Tilt -10.3%
ELO win probability
46.8%
CS Emelec
25.2%
Draw
28%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Emelec
+5%
+5%
Flamengo

ELO progression

CS Emelec
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2012
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 0
LDU Loja
LOJ
60%
23%
17%
76 69 7 0
29 Mar. 2012
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
Dep. Quito
QUI
41%
28%
30%
76 80 4 0
25 Mar. 2012
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 3
CS Emelec
EME
42%
28%
30%
76 73 3 0
21 Mar. 2012
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 2
Lanús
LAN
43%
27%
30%
76 81 5 0
18 Mar. 2012
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Técnico Universitario
TEC
50%
26%
24%
76 73 3 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Bangu
BAN
79%
15%
6%
77 52 25 0
31 Mar. 2012
TAB
Taboão da Serra
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
7%
14%
78%
77 37 40 0
29 Mar. 2012
SER
Sertãozinho
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
10%
19%
71%
77 44 33 0
29 Mar. 2012
OLI
Olimpia
3 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
54%
23%
23%
77 79 2 0
25 Mar. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 4
Capivariano
CAP
84%
12%
4%
78 48 30 -1
X