EMD Aceuchal vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
EMD
4 - 2
GIM
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CPR
2 - 1
EMD
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EMD
2 - 0
ORE
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPH
2 - 3
EMD
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EMD
1 - 2
UCL
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
CDT
74%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 3
VIL
15%
20%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
7 - 2
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CPR
0 - 3
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 1
CDB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |