Ely City vs Fakenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ely City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
ELY
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ELY
3 - 0
HAV
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ELY
1 - 5
IPS
27%
21%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
ELY
0 - 6
LKF
30%
22%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THE
4 - 2
ELY
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fakenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
7 - 3
FAK
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
1 - 1
MIL
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAK
2 - 0
LKF
36%
23%
42%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HTF
3 - 2
FAK
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAK
1 - 2
NOR
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |