SV Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
12º
1º
9
4º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 58 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 57 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 57 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 55 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 55 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 53 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 53 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 45 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 40 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 39 |
14º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 36 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 35 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 35 |
18º
|
19% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
31.5% | 22.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2025 |
EBT
1 - 4
ELV
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
ELV
2 - 2
SGD
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
WEH
0 - 2
ELV
23%
21%
56%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
HER
0 - 2
ELV
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
ELV
2 - 1
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2025 |
HOL
3 - 0
KSC
38%
25%
38%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
S04
0 - 1
HOL
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2025 |
HOL
1 - 1
STP
34%
23%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
HOL
1 - 2
HAN
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
SGF
0 - 2
HOL
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |