Ellerton vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ellerton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
ELL
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ELL
3 - 3
BDF
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UWI
2 - 1
ELL
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 5
ELL
33%
21%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ELL
0 - 0
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
BDF
2 - 2
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SSA
0 - 2
PAR
10%
16%
75%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
PAR
6 - 1
PSF
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
WEY
3 - 3
PAR
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |