Elgin City vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ELG
0 - 1
BLA
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
ELG
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
ELG
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ELG
2 - 0
STE
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 0
ELG
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 2
BLA
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
DUM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
DUM
35%
27%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 0
ELG
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |