Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ELG
4 - 0
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
THE
1 - 0
ELG
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ELG
2 - 0
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
ELG
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
SPA
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
3 - 1
ARB
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
ELG
66%
19%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |