Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 2
ELG
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BLA
4 - 2
ELG
54%
22%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
THE
1 - 1
ELG
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ELG
3 - 0
ALB
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
LIV
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
BLA
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
5 - 1
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |