Eldense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 1
ELD
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ELD
0 - 0
PUÇ
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OND
1 - 1
ELD
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ELD
0 - 1
BUR
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRE
0 - 1
ELD
33%
29%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIJ
29%
28%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
RIB
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NUC
0 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
JOV
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |