Elche vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
REC
2 - 1
ELC
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ELC
3 - 1
LOR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ELC
2 - 1
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 2
ELC
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
SAB
0 - 1
ELC
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
RAY
3 - 2
SAB
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ATB
0 - 2
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ATH
1 - 3
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
RAY
1 - 1
LOG
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
MLL
1 - 0
RAY
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |