Elche vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 0
SPO
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
ELC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 2
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 1
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
VAD
2 - 2
ELC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PON
3 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
PON
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PON
2 - 0
NUM
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 0
PON
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 1
PON
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |