Elche vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
GDE
1 - 1
ELC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 0
ELC
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
ELC
1 - 1
LEV
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1980 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
MUR
4 - 1
ELC
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
CEL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 0
ELC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
ALG
0 - 0
CEL
41%
32%
28%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1980 |
CEL
2 - 0
OVI
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
CEL
1 - 2
VAD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |