UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Ekranas Panevezys vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
FKE
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
SHR
0 - 0
FKE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SUD
2 - 3
FKE
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
KRU
1 - 1
FKE
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
FKE
3 - 2
DAI
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SHR
0 - 0
BRW
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
SHR
0 - 0
FKE
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
SHR
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SHR
1 - 1
STP
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
BOH
4 - 0
SHR
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |