1. Lyga Round 17

Ekranas Panevezys vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis

Ekranas Panevezys Kauno Žalgiris II
49 ELO 49
-3.2% Tilt 19.4%
4440º General ELO ranking 5060º
23º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Ekranas Panevezys
22.9%
Draw
23.7%
Kauno Žalgiris II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
Ekranas Panevezys
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.7%
Win probability
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ekranas Panevezys
-42%
-10%
Kauno Žalgiris II

Points and table prediction

Ekranas Panevezys
Their league position
Kauno Žalgiris II
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
16º
14º
21
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
52
75
98%
Neptunas Klaipėda
42
65
42.5%
FK Tauras Taurage
45
64
36%
FK Babrungas
38
58
54%
BFA
40
52
38%
Žalgiris II
33
50
43%
Atmosfera
28
39
40%
Minija Kretinga
23
37
28%
FK Jonava
25
36
17%
FC Hegelmann II
10º
23
34
10º
21.5%
Nevezis
12º
20
31
11º
11%
Kauno Žalgiris II
11º
21
30
12º
19.5%
Be1 NFA
16º
13
30
13º
14%
Ekranas Panevezys
13º
17
25
14º
17%
FK Siauliai 2
15º
14
25
15º
24%
Panevėžys II
14º
17
25
16º
22.5%
Expected probabilities
Ekranas Panevezys
Kauno Žalgiris II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
31% 77.5%
Relegation play-offs
17% 12%
Relegation
52% 10.5%

ELO progression

Ekranas Panevezys
Kauno Žalgiris II
Panevėžys II
FK Siauliai 2
Minija Kretinga
Žalgiris II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ekranas Panevezys
Ekranas Panevezys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2025
BFA
BFA
1 - 0
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
55%
22%
23%
51 57 6 0
27 Jun. 2025
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
0 - 0
FK Jonava
LIE
58%
22%
21%
51 47 4 0
21 Jun. 2025
ATM
Atmosfera
5 - 0
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
43%
24%
33%
52 53 1 -1
18 Jun. 2025
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
0 - 1
Nevezis
NEV
34%
26%
41%
53 58 5 -1
14 Jun. 2025
FKT
FK Tauras Taurage
3 - 1
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
62%
20%
18%
53 61 8 0

Matches

Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2025
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
1 - 3
Atmosfera
ATM
32%
25%
43%
49 54 5 0
28 Jun. 2025
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
2 - 2
Nevezis
NEV
22%
24%
54%
48 59 11 +1
21 Jun. 2025
FKT
FK Tauras Taurage
2 - 1
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
76%
15%
9%
49 62 13 -1
17 Jun. 2025
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
1 - 3
Neptunas Klaipėda
NEP
10%
18%
73%
49 70 21 0
12 Jun. 2025
BAB
FK Babrungas
3 - 1
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
77%
16%
8%
49 65 16 0