Eintracht Frankfurt vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
18º
7º
71
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
EIN
2 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
EIN
37%
24%
38%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SVS
0 - 2
EIN
6%
14%
80%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EIN
5 - 1
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TOT
3 - 2
EIN
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BVB
0 - 0
MAC
16%
20%
64%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BVB
5 - 0
STU
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
0 - 2
BVB
7%
15%
78%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 0
BVB
19%
21%
60%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BVB
1 - 1
SEV
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |