Eibar vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
GDE
1 - 0
EIB
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
EIB
1 - 2
TUD
60%
26%
14%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 0
EIB
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
EIB
1 - 0
LOG
33%
30%
37%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
CAR
2 - 1
EIB
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 2
RMC
25%
32%
43%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
RMC
2 - 0
LOG
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
CAR
1 - 0
RMC
36%
30%
34%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
RMC
3 - 2
AND
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
RMC
1 - 0
COL
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |