Eibar vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ARE
1 - 1
EIB
33%
31%
36%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
EIB
2 - 0
ORT
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
CDU
2 - 2
EIB
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AFT
1 - 1
EIB
43%
29%
28%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
EIB
2 - 0
ELG
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
GER
1 - 0
SNT
54%
26%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
3 - 2
GER
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
GER
4 - 1
CDU
33%
29%
38%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
78%
16%
6%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
GER
0 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |