Egypt U20 vs Japan U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 1
EGY
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
EGY
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 1
EGY
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EGY
4 - 0
AUT
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
PAN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 3
JAP
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
JAP
0 - 3
COL
40%
24%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
FRA
4 - 1
JAP
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 2
JAP
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
CIV
4 - 3
JAP
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |