Egg vs Austria Lustenau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
12º
9º
20
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 47 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 43 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 36 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 34 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 29 |
11º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 21 |
13º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 4
EGG
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RTB
1 - 1
EGG
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LAU
36%
21%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SCG
1 - 1
EGG
53%
22%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LOC
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAU
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SCG
4 - 2
AUS
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
AUS
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 0
AUS
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
FCH
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |