EF Concepción A vs Unión Valdebernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
EFC
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
EFC
4 - 3
SHO
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CSH
6 - 1
EFC
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 0
BRM
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 0
EFC
71%
17%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Valdebernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SFN
2 - 0
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ARA
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
TOB
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
SSR
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |