EF Concepción A vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
EFC
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 2
RCA
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VLP
3 - 0
EFC
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 0
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SSR
0 - 1
EFC
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
YEB
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
5 - 2
ARA
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
ELE
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARA
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 1
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |