Canadian Championship . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Edmonton vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 0
EDM
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 0
EDM
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
EDM
0 - 1
NYC
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
EDM
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
EDM
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
OTT
4 - 0
CAR
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
OTT
0 - 0
EDM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 2
MIN
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
OTT
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |