XV de Novembro vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECN
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 0
TAN
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
MAU
0 - 0
ECN
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
1 - 0
UNI
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
ECN
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECN
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
MAU
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 1
UNI
19%
20%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 2
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SKA
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |