XV de Novembro vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ECN
3 - 0
OES
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
ECN
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
TAU
2 - 2
ECN
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ECN
1 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
COM
0 - 0
ECN
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BAN
4 - 1
POR
28%
24%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
RIO
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
UNI
4 - 2
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
POR
4 - 0
TAU
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |