Baiano 1 . Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Bahía vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
NAC
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
12%
23%
66%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
BAH
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
12%
23%
66%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
SDJ
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 1
JAC
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
9%
19%
72%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 0
SDJ
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |