Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 3
BAH
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
6 - 1
VIT
82%
13%
4%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAH
4%
11%
86%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BAH
6%
13%
82%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
85%
12%
3%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
AFO
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
NAU
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |