Série A Serie A. Jor. 19

Bahía vs Coritiba analysis

Bahía Coritiba
75 ELO 77
-18.1% Tilt -15%
143º General ELO ranking 333º
19º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Bahía
28.9%
Draw
34.3%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
Bahía
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.3%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahía
+2%
-7%
Coritiba

ELO progression

Bahía
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2014
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Internacional
SCI
34%
29%
37%
75 83 8 0
31 Aug. 2014
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
59%
25%
17%
75 83 8 0
28 Aug. 2014
SCI
Internacional
0 - 2
Bahía
BAH
64%
22%
14%
74 83 9 +1
24 Aug. 2014
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
58%
24%
18%
74 79 5 0
21 Aug. 2014
BAH
Bahía
0 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
49%
27%
24%
74 69 5 0

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2014
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 0
Coritiba
COT
56%
24%
21%
78 80 2 0
31 Aug. 2014
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
33%
27%
40%
78 85 7 0
28 Aug. 2014
COT
Coritiba
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
42%
27%
31%
77 81 4 +1
24 Aug. 2014
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
47%
27%
26%
77 79 2 0
21 Aug. 2014
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
45%
26%
29%
77 75 2 0
X